Graphical Abstract

Nakamura, S., H. Kusaka, R. Sato, and T. Sato, 2022: Heatstroke risk projection in Japan under current and near future climates. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 100, 597-615.
https://doi.org/10.2151/jmsj.2022-030.
Graphical Abstract

 

Plain Language Summary: In this study, a generalized linear model was used to predict the number of heatstroke emergencies in the near future (2031-2050). The results showed that the rate of increase in the number of heatstroke emergencies from the baseline (1981-2000) to the near future was about 2.6 times (considering climate change and population dynamics). We also examined the extent to which the number of heatstroke emergencies could be reduced by taking into account the acquisition of heat tolerance and changes in lifestyle.

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